BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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The Citadel
Class: 1B Class Rank: 69 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 122.48
Conference: Southern Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-7)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home L * 121.44 0 38 1B 1 (12- 1) North Dakota St -1.48 * -15.20 -36.52
2 09/06/2025 Away W * * 139.01 40 13 1B 113 ( 1-11) Samford 16.09 8.83 10.91
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 118.57 13 23 1B 44 ( 7- 5) Gardner-Webb -4.35 9.42 -5.65
4 09/20/2025 Home L * * 97.04 0 38 1B 24 ( 9- 3) Mercer -25.88 12.59 -12.12
5 09/27/2025 Away W * * 142.05 28 10 1B 85 ( 5- 7) Chattanooga 19.13 -21.59 -1.13
6 10/11/2025 Home W 130.05 38 14 2 56 ( 6- 5) Valdosta St 7.13 22.07 16.87
7 10/18/2025 Home L * * 121.44 38 45 1B 33 ( 7- 5) Western Carolina -1.48 -3.64 -5.52
8 10/25/2025 Away L * * 111.29 14 24 1B 84 ( 6- 6) Furman -11.63 2.18 1.63
9 11/01/2025 Home W * * 109.90 35 24 1B 117 ( 1-11) VMI -13.02 20.10 24.02
10 11/08/2025 Away L 128.83 0 49 1A 13 (13- 2) Mississippi 5.91 * -52.10 -54.91
11 11/15/2025 Home L * * 124.94 14 16 1B 40 ( 6- 6) Wofford 2.02 -3.49 -4.02
12 11/22/2025 Away L * * 130.46 26 28 1B 32 ( 7- 5) East Tennessee St 7.54 -11.97 -9.54
Averages 122.92 20.5 26.8
Best game: 142.05 = 18 point win over Chattanooga
Worst game: 97.04 = 38 point loss to Mercer
Team stdev: 12.68